Labor Immigration Law

The March 2010 Visa Bulletin was just released by the State Department.  The sixth visa bulletin for the fiscal year 2010 and the third for the calendar 2010 does not bring much movement.  There is some slow forward movement across most employment-based categories.   The most significant movement noted this month is in EB-3 ROW and EB-3 China (both move forward by 3 months).  EB-2 India and EB-3 India dates move forward only slightly.

Here is a summary of the March 2010 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 ROW remains current, EB-2 China moves forward by six (6) weeks to July 8, 2005, and EB-2 India, moves forward by only one (1) week to February 1, 2005.
• EB-3 ROW moves forward by almost three (3) months to December 15, 2002, EB-3 China moves forward by almost three (3) months also to December 15, 2002, while EB-3 India moves forward by only one (1) week to July 1, 2001.
• Other worker visa numbers remains unchanged at June 1, 2001.

The February 2010 Visa Bulletin was just released by the State Department.  The fifth visa bulletin for the fiscal year 2010 and the second for the calendar 2010 does not bring much movement.  There is no movement for India across all employment-based categories.   For many other categories, the only forward movement is in the 1-2 months range.  Here is a summary of the February 2010 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 ROW remains current, EB-2 China moves forward by three (3) weeks to May 22, 2005, and EB-2 India, again, remains unchanged at January 22, 2005.
• EB-3 ROW moves forward by almost two (2) months to September 22, 2002, EB-3 China moves forward by almost two (2) months also to September 22, 2002, while EB-3 India remains unchanged.
• Other worker visa numbers remains unchanged at June 1, 2001.

The January 2010 Visa Bulletin was just released by the State Department.  The fourth visa bulletin for the fiscal year 2010 and the first for the calendar 2010 does not bring much movement.  For many categories, the only forward movement is in the 1-2 months range.  Here is a summary of the January 2010 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 ROW remains current, EB-2 China moves forward by one (1) month to May 1, 2005, and EB-2 India remains unchanged at January 22, 2005.
• EB-3 ROW moves forward by two (2) months to August 1, 2002, EB-3 China moves forward by two (2) months to August 1, 2002, while EB-3 India moves forward by almost two (2) months to June 22, 2001.
• Other worker visa numbers remains unchanged at June 1, 2001, except for India which moves forward by one month to June 1, 2001.

The December 2009 Visa Bulletin was released today by the State Department.  The third visa bulletin for the fiscal year 2010 does not bring much movement.  In fact, the only movement in the EB categories is a one week only forward movement in EB-3 India.  All other categories, including EB-3 Rest of World (ROW) remain unchanged.  Here is a summary of the December 2009 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 remain unchanged – EB-2 ROW remains current, EB-2 China remains unchanged at April 1, 2005 and EB-2 India remains at January 22, 2005.
• EB-3 ROW remains unchanged at June 1, 2002, EB-3 China remains unchanged at June 1, 2002, while EB-3 India moves forward by one week to May 1, 2001.
• Other worker visa numbers remains unchanged at June 1, 2001, except for India which moves forward by one week to May 1, 2001.

The November 2009 Visa Bulletin was released by the State Department.  The second visa bulletin for the fiscal year 2010 does not bring much movement.  The slight forward movement can be observed in EB-2 and EB-3 China and in EB-3 India.  All other categories, including EB-3 Rest of World (ROW) remain unchanged.  Here is a summary of the November 2009 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 China moves forward by a week to April 1, 2005 while EB-2 ROW remains current and EB-2 India remains unchanged at January 22, 2005.
• EB-3 ROW remains unchanged at June 1, 2002, EB-3 China moves forward by three months to June 1, 2002, while EB-3 India moves forward by one week to April 22, 2001.
• Other worker visa numbers remains unchanged at June 1, 2001, except for India which moves forward by one week to April 22, 2001.

The October 2009 Visa Bulletin which is the first visa bulletin for the new FY2010 fiscal year was released earlier today by the State Department.   This October 2009 Visa Bulletin has been widely expected not only to see the EB-3 category go back to some availability of visas but also to use the movement in this month’s Visa Bulletin to gauge the level of visa numbers movements for this upcoming fiscal year.

EB-2 Numbers Indicate Minor Movement

The October 2009 Visa Bulletin dates suggest a minor forward movement as follows:

• EB-2 China moves forward by a little over two (2) months from January 8, 2005 to March 22, 2005;
• EB-2 India moves forward  by two (2) weeks from January 8, 2005 to January 22, 2005; and
• EB-2 Rest of World (“ROW”) remains current.

EB-3 Visas Are Available Although Forward Movement May Be Slow

As expected, the October 2009 Visa Bulletin brings a number of changes.  Most notably, the EB-3 category is no longer unavailable and the visa cut-off dates are as listed below.  We also provide the visa cut-off dates from the April 2009 Visa Bulletin which was the last time EB-3 visas were available.

• EB-3 China has a cut-off date of February 22, 2002 (compared to March 1, 2003 in the April 2009 Visa Bulletin);
• EB-3 India has a cut-off date of April 15, 2001 (compared to November 1, 2001 in the April 2009 Visa Bulletin);
• EB-3 ROW has a cut-off date of June 1, 2002 (compared to March 1, 2003 in the April 2009 Visa Bulletin).

We have included a comparison with the April 2009 EB-3 visa numbers to illustrate that even though the State Department has made EB-3 visas available, the fact that the government chose to set cut-off dates in October 2009 which are earlier than the April 2009 cut-off dates indicates that a slow movement in EB-3 over the 2009 fiscal year is to be expected.

EB-5 Is Unavailable

The EB-5 category is now unavailable.  This is due to the expiration of the EB-5 Pilot program on September 30, 2009, which means that no visas can be issued after September 30 under the EB-5 category until Congress extends it.  Once this happens, the visa availability is expected to become current.

The September 2009 Visa Bulletin was released by the State Department.  The only change, in comparison to the August 2009 Visa Bulletin, is the forward movement in the EB-2 China and India categories which changed from January 1, 2003 to January 8, 2005.  All other categories remain unchanged.  Here is a summary of the September 2009 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 remains unchanged for all categories except as noted above for EB-2 China and India:  EB-2 ROW (Rest of World) is current, EB-2 China and EB-2 India are January 8, 2005.
• EB-3 is unavailable for all categories.
• Other worker visa numbers are also unavailable.

Based on the last few visa bulletins, visa availability during the final quarter of the fiscal year is likely to remain very limited as some employment-based categories approach or have already reached their annual numerical limits.

The August 2009 Visa Bulletin was just released by the State Department.  The only change, in comparison to the July 2009 Visa Bulletin, is the forward movement in the EB-2 China and India categories which changed from January 1, 2000 to October 1, 2003 .  All other categories remain unchanged.  Here is a summary of the August 2009 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 remains unchanged for all categories except as noted above for EB-2 China and India:  EB-2 ROW (Rest of World) is current, EB-2 China and EB-2 India are October 1, 2003.
• EB-3 is unavailable for all categories.
• Other worker visa numbers are also unavailable.

In one of the comments to the August 2009 Visa Bulletin, the State Department notes that the retrogression of EB-2 China has been necessary to take into account the high demand of visa issuances so far this fiscal year.   As a result, visa availability during the final quarter of the fiscal year is likely to remain very limited as some employment-based categories approach or have already reached their annual numerical limits.

During the annual AILA conference, Mr. Charles Oppenheim of the Department of State Visa Office (he is the person who is largely involved in the movement of visa numbers) provided some thoughts and predictions on the movement of visa numbers for the remainder of the fiscal year 2009 (FY2009 the end of which is September 30, 2009) and beyond.

Lower Unused Visa Numbers in EB-4 and EB-5.  According to Mr. Oppenheim, EB-4 and EB-5 have seen increased demand which may result in retrogression.  However, what is more important, the high demand of EB-4 and EB-5 has resulted in a fewer visa numbers being made available to other categories, such as EB-2 and EB-3.  This has resulted in an increased pressure on the visa numbers for EB-3, EB-2 and possibly EB-1 for China and India.

EB-1 Demand Increased; EB-1 China or India May See Retrogression.  Mr. Oppenheim noted that demand for EB-1 Rest of World (ROW) has increased but it expected to remain current until the end of FY2009.  However, EB-1 for China and India, while current for July 2009, may require the establishment of a cut-off date if EB-1 demand remains heavy.  This is important because EB-1 for China and India may no longer be the “instant concurrent-filing” category.  We urge our readers and clients from China or India who are considering EB-1 to consider filing as early as possible.

EB-2 China and India – “Grim” Prognosis; Long Delays Are Likely.  Mr. Oppenheim did not deliver good news for EB-2 China and India applicants.  The July 2009 cut-off date is January 1, 2009, and may become unavailable in August or September 2009.  There are reported 25,000 EB-2 India cases which have been reviewed by USCIS and are waiting at the Department of State for a visa number. By law, all countries have a limit of 2,800 EB-2 numbers per year plus any “fall across” and “fall down” numbers from EB-1, EB-4 or EB-5 categories or from the EB-2 category from other countries.  Therefore, and unfortunately, without legislative relief, the waiting time for Indian or Chinese EB-2 applicants may be measured in years, even decades.

EB-3 ROW.  The EB-3 will remain unavailable the remainder of this fiscal year. As the Department of Labor worked its way through the long backlog of Alien Labor Certification cases, there were tens of thousands of I-485 applications with priority dates in 2004 and earlier years which were processed by USCIS this year. The Department of State currently estimates that, as of October 1, 2009, the EB3 worldwide cut-off date will be March 1, 2003. There will be extended delays in this category.

EB-3 China, India and Mexico.  According to Mr. Oppenheim, EB-3 numbers for China, India and Mexico applicants will be unavailable for the remainder of the fiscal year.  Furthermore, it is estimated that, based on current demand for visa numbers that as of October 1, 2009, the following cut-off dates could be established: China will be March 1, 2003; India will be November 1, 2001; and Mexico will be March 1, 2003. These estimates are based on “current demand” in the first 7 ½ months of FY2009, and a lot could change between now and early September when October dates are established (meaning that these predicted cut-off dates may retrogress even more).

General Numbers Update.  Finally, Mr. Oppenheim provided some numbers on the cases pending at various stages of immigrant processing.  There are approximately 25,000 EB-2 and 25,000 EB-3 applications queued at the State Department awaiting visa numbers.  There are ~2.7 million family-based applicants on the waiting list for consular processing.  There also could be ~50,000 employment-based applicants on waiting lists for consular processing.

Conclusion.  The news from Mr. Oppenheim is not good.  Long delays and limits on some categories are to be expected.  Indian and Chinese applicants for EB-2 and EB-3 face years, even decades-long, wait period for a visa number.  EB-1 is also under pressure for Chinese and Indians.   We will continue monitoring the visa numbers and provide updates and reliable predictions as we counsel our clients on the best ways to avoid lengthy green card delays.

The July 2009 Visa Bulletin was released today.  Unfortunately, as expected, the only change is the EB-2 China category which changed from February 15, 2005 to January 1, 2000.  All other categories remain unchanged.  Here is a summary of the July 2009 Visa Bulletin:

• EB-1 remains current across the board.
• EB-2 remains unchanged for all categories except as noted above for EB-2 China:  EB-2 ROW (Rest of World) is current, EB-2 China and EB-2 India are January 1, 2000.
• EB-3 is unavailable for all categories.
• Other worker visa numbers are also unavailable.

In one of the comments to the July 2009 Visa Bulletin, the State Department notes that the retrogression of EB-2 China has been necessary to take into account the high demand of visa issuances so far this fiscal year.   As a result, visa availability during the final quarter of the fiscal year is likely to remain very limited as some employment-based categories approach or have already reached their annual numerical limits.